Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000033 0.000035 0.000037 0.000040 0.000042 0.000045
2025-10-05 0.000027 0.000030 0.000033 0.000036 0.000040 0.000044 0.000049
2025-10-12 0.000025 0.000028 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000046 0.000052
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000027 0.000031 0.000036 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056
2025-10-26 0.000023 0.000026 0.000031 0.000036 0.000043 0.000050 0.000060
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000065
2025-11-09 0.000021 0.000025 0.000029 0.000036 0.000043 0.000053 0.000066
2025-11-16 0.000019 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000053 0.000067
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000072
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000057 0.000074
2025-12-07 0.000017 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043 0.000056 0.000074
2025-12-14 0.000016 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000055 0.000074
2025-12-21 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000032 0.000042 0.000055 0.000075
2025-12-28 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000031 0.000041 0.000055 0.000076
2026-01-04 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000041 0.000055 0.000078
2026-01-11 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000030 0.000041 0.000057 0.000081
2026-01-18 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000059 0.000085
2026-01-25 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000043 0.000061 0.000090
2026-02-01 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000030 0.000043 0.000061 0.000091
2026-02-08 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000030 0.000042 0.000061 0.000092
2026-02-15 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043 0.000063 0.000097
2026-02-22 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043 0.000064 0.000100
2026-03-01 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020 0.000029 0.000042 0.000063 0.000099